Ones to Watch
Americas: Braskem-Idesa mulls legal action against Mexico over suspended gas contract Sectors: petrochemicals; hydrocarbons Key Risks: FoP; contract reviews; business risks In Mexico, the Braskem-Idesa consortium is reportedly considering taking legal action over a recent gas supply contract suspension should negotiations with the government of President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) not result in a […]
Americas: Venezuela’s controversial legislative elections to take place amid opposition boycott Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; election-related unrest In Venezuela, Nicolas Maduro’s regime is set to take control of the National Assembly (NA) in a highly controversial legislative election scheduled for 6 December. The NA is the only state institution controlled by the opposition […]
Americas: Tensions to persist despite Guatemala’s Congress move to shelve 2021 budget Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; violent unrest; protests; economic risks In Guatemala, tensions are expected to remain high after at least 10 people were injured and 36 were arrested as initially peaceful protests against 2021 budget cuts turned violent in Guatemala City […]
Americas: Transition tension mounts as Peru’s interim president resigns after deadly unrest Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; violent unrest; protests In Peru, on 16 November Congress is to resume a session to appoint an interim president after failing to do so the day prior, when Manuel Merino from the centre-right Popular Action party resigned […]
Americas: Belize’s ruling UDP and opposition PUP to face off in contested general election Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; election-related violence; protests In Belize, highly contested general elections are scheduled to take place on 11 November. The ruling centre-right United Democratic Party (UDP), led by Deputy Prime Minister Patrick Faber, will face off against […]
Americas: Democrat Joe Biden leads polls ahead of 3 November US presidential election Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; election-related violence; protests In the US, national polls indicate that Democratic candidate Joe Biden is substantially ahead of President Donald Trump for the 3 November presidential election. Even if national polls are accurate, Trump could still […]
Americas: MMG’s Las Bambas again highlights disruption risk facing Peru’s mining sector Sectors: mining Key Risks: road blockades; cargo transport disruption; business interruption In Peru, China’s MMG resumed shipments from its Las Bambas copper mine in Chumbivilcas province, Cusco region, to Matarani port in Arequipa after reaching an agreement with a local community on 22 […]
Americas: Further disruptive unrest likely in Costa Rica despite blockades being lifted Sectors: all Key Risks: cargo transport disruption; policy uncertainty; civil unrest In Costa Rica, disruptive unrest will remain a high risk over the coming days despite the National Rescue Movement (MRN)’s decision on 15 October to suspend 16-days long road blockades which significantly […]
Americas: Bolivia to face crucial general elections; uncertainty over potential runoff mounts Sectors: all Key Risks: violent unrest; arson attacks; political instability; policy uncertainty In Bolivia, general elections – a rerun of the controversial October 2019 vote and postponed twice due to COVID-19 – are scheduled for 18 October. Tensions are on the rise, with […]
Americas: Unrest set to intensify in Chile ahead of protest movement anniversary, referendum Sectors: all Key Risks: violent unrest; arson attacks; business risks In Chile, violent unrest is set to intensify ahead of the one-year anniversary of the protest movement that started on 18 October 2019, which will be followed by the 25 October referendum […]
Americas: Protests over lack of public services risk further escalation across Venezuela Sectors: all Key Risks: violent unrest; crackdown on dissent In Venezuela, ongoing protests over the lack of public services risk further escalating nationwide over the coming weeks as the controversial 6 December legislative elections approach. Fuel, water, gas and electricity shortages, amongst others, […]
Americas: Bolivia’s interim president Anez withdraws from presidential race ahead of vote Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; business disruption In Bolivia, on 17 September interim president Jeanine Anez withdrew from the presidential race ahead of the 18 October general elections, citing the need to unify those opposing frontrunner Luis Arce, the candidate […]
