Americas: US President-elect Biden to take office on 20 January amid heightened security risks Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; violent unrest In the US, the risk of unrest and associated violence will remain heightened ahead of and after the 20 January inauguration of President-elect Joe Biden. Security force presence has been significantly increased across […]
Americas: Efforts to remove President Trump from office to intensify in the US Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; violent unrest The US House of Representatives is set to try to remove President Donald Trump from office on two separate fronts for inciting a mob that violently attacked the Capitol on 6 January. On 10 […]
Americas: Venezuela’s Maduro to further consolidate power as new legislative period begins Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; violent unrest; protests; economic risks In Venezuela, Nicolas Maduro’s regime will further consolidate its power once the 2021-2026 legislative period begins on 5 January, while the opposition, led by partially recognised interim president Juan Guaido, appears set […]
Americas: Efforts to end three week-long strike affecting grain exports to intensify Sectors: agribusiness Key Risks: labour strike; industrial action; export delays and disruption In Argentina, efforts to end a three week-long strike staged by unions representing grains inspectors and oilseed workers are set to intensify over the coming days as CIARA-CEC, the chamber of […]
Americas: President Ortega pushing for law that would ban opposition from 2021 elections Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; policy uncertainty In Nicaragua, further government-backed controversial legislative proposals aimed at hampering the opposition’s participation in the 7 November 2021 general election are expected over the coming months. Opposition representatives recently denounced that President […]
Americas: Vitol facing corruption-related fallout in Mexico, Ecuador, Brazil amid US probe Sectors: oil and gas Key Risks: frustration of process, contract reviews; business risks; fines In Latin America, Swiss-based commodities trading firm Vitol is facing mounting corruption-related fallout amid a US investigation into bribery schemes in Brazil, Ecuador and Mexico. On 3 December Vitol […]
Americas: Braskem-Idesa mulls legal action against Mexico over suspended gas contract Sectors: petrochemicals; hydrocarbons Key Risks: FoP; contract reviews; business risks In Mexico, the Braskem-Idesa consortium is reportedly considering taking legal action over a recent gas supply contract suspension should negotiations with the government of President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) not result in a […]
Americas: Venezuela’s controversial legislative elections to take place amid opposition boycott Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; election-related unrest In Venezuela, Nicolas Maduro’s regime is set to take control of the National Assembly (NA) in a highly controversial legislative election scheduled for 6 December. The NA is the only state institution controlled by the opposition […]
Americas: Tensions to persist despite Guatemala’s Congress move to shelve 2021 budget Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; violent unrest; protests; economic risks In Guatemala, tensions are expected to remain high after at least 10 people were injured and 36 were arrested as initially peaceful protests against 2021 budget cuts turned violent in Guatemala City […]
Americas: Transition tension mounts as Peru’s interim president resigns after deadly unrest Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; violent unrest; protests In Peru, on 16 November Congress is to resume a session to appoint an interim president after failing to do so the day prior, when Manuel Merino from the centre-right Popular Action party resigned […]
Americas: Belize’s ruling UDP and opposition PUP to face off in contested general election Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; election-related violence; protests In Belize, highly contested general elections are scheduled to take place on 11 November. The ruling centre-right United Democratic Party (UDP), led by Deputy Prime Minister Patrick Faber, will face off against […]
Americas: Democrat Joe Biden leads polls ahead of 3 November US presidential election Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; election-related violence; protests In the US, national polls indicate that Democratic candidate Joe Biden is substantially ahead of President Donald Trump for the 3 November presidential election. Even if national polls are accurate, Trump could still […]
