Ones to Watch
Americas: Argentina VP’s assassination attempt heightens political violence, unrest risks Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; political stability; civil unrest In Argentina, the risk of politically motivated violence and unrest will remain heightened following former president and current Vice President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK) assassination attempt. On 2 September tens of thousands took to […]
Americas: Chileans to vote on whether to accept or reject the new constitution on 4 September Sectors: all; mining; electricity; banking Key Risks: policy continuity; political stability; political violence; regulatory changes; governability In Chile, a decisive constitutional referendum is scheduled to take place on 4 September. Voters will decide whether to accept or reject the […]
Americas: Colombia’s government and ELN guerrilla increasingly likely to resume peace talks Sectors: all; oil and gas; electricity Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency; targeted attacks; kidnapping In Colombia, on 20 August leftist President Gustavo Petro announced the suspension of arrest warrants and extradition requests for the leftist ELN guerrilla’s negotiators amid renewed efforts to restart peace […]
Americas: Paraguay faces heightened instability as corruption allegations into top officials mount Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; corruption; sanctions In Paraguay, mounting corruption allegations against former and current top government officials risk stoking instability risks. On 12 August Vice President Hugo Velazquez announced that he would resign shortly after Washington blacklisted him for “significant […]
Americas Political tensions remain high as Peru’s Castillo replaces ministers in another reshuffle Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; governability; business and economic risks In Peru, on 5 August far-left President Pedro Castillo replaced six key ministers amid yet another cabinet reshuffle but refused to accept Prime Minister Anibal Torres’s resignation. Former vice economy minister […]
Americas Major policy shifts expected as Colombia’s Gustavo Petro takes office on 7 August Sectors: all Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political stability; business risks In Colombia, major policy shifts are expected once President-elect Gustavo Petro becomes the country’s first leftist president on 7 August. Petro’s victory in the tight presidential runoff in June was yet […]
Americas Presidential race to heat up as Bolsonaro and Lula officially confirm their candidacies Sectors: all Key Risks: political violence; policy continuity; political instability In Brazil, the presidential race ahead of the 2 October general elections is expected to heat up, with a heightened risk of politically motivated violence. Far-right President Jair Bolsonaro officially launched […]
Americas: Protests set to continue in Panama despite deal between government and Anadepo Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; strikes; supply chain disruption In Panama, nationwide protests featuring road blockades are set to continue despite a new deal between the government and the Anadepo union, which is leading the ongoing protest movement over rising gasoline […]
Americas: Cuba’s government-led crackdown on dissent persists a year after 11J protests Sectors: all Key Risks: government-led crackdown; arbitrary arrests; summary trials; sanctions In Cuba, the government-led crackdown on dissent shows no signs of abating a year after unprecedented anti-government protests that erupted on 11 July 2021. President Miguel Diaz-Canel’s administration controversially arrested hundreds of […]
Americas: Argentina’s political, economic crises to deepen as economy minister resigns Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy continuity; governability; sovereign default In Argentina, ongoing political, economic and financial crises are set to deepen following the surprise resignation of Martin Guzman as economy minister on 2 July. Guzman’s decision risks further destabilising President Alberto Fernandez’s […]
Americas: Truckers and farmers set to strike across Peru over rising fuel, fertiliser prices Sectors: all; cargo transport Key Risks: supply chain disruption; civil unrest; strikes In Peru, truckers and farmers are set to strike across the country starting on 27 June to protest rising fuel and fertiliser prices. The disruptive measure was agreed on […]
Americas: Disruptive anti-government protests enter second week across Ecuador Sectors: all; oil sector; retail; cargo transport Key Risks: business interruption; disruptive civil unrest; vandalism; sabotage In Ecuador, disruptive anti-government protests are expected to continue across the country over the coming week. Hundreds of indigenous protesters arrived in the capital Quito on 19 June defying a […]
