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Ones to Watch, 12 August 2019

Americas: Southern Copper’s Tia Maria project licence suspended due to protests in Peru Sectors: oil & gas Key Risks: business disruption; frustration of process; civil unrest In Peru, the government of President Martin Vizcarra suspended the recently issued construction permit for Southern Copper’s Tia Maria copper mining project after weeks of violent anti-mining protests in the […]

Ones to Watch, 5 August 2019

Americas: President Macri expected to come second in Argentina’s 11 August primary elections Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; political stability; economic reforms In Argentina, the 11 August ‘PASO’ primary elections will provide the first major temperature check ahead of the upcoming October general election, expected to be highly contested between centre-right President Mauricio Macri and […]

AKE’s Head of Political Risk Maximilian Hess on Channel 4 News

AKE’s Head of Political Risk and Principal Analyst for Europe & Eurasia spoke with Channel 4 News’ Jon Snow about a series of anti-government demonstrations in Russia sparked by the Moscow Electoral Commissions’ decision to refuse opposition candidates’ registration, as well as the potential poisoning of Alexei Navalny, arguably the most prominent Russian opposition figure. […]

Ones to Watch, 29 July 2019

Americas: Bilateral US-Venezuela tensions to remain high despite Chevron’s license renewal Sectors: oil and gas Key Risks: business risks; expropriation; sanctions In Venezuela, the three-month extension to Chevron’s license to continue operating its four joint ventures on Venezuelan oil temporarily dispelled fears of an expropriation of its assets amid heightened bilateral tensions and sanctions. On 26 July the US […]

Ones to Watch, 22 July 2019

Americas: Puerto Rico to face further protests, heightened political instability risks Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; protests; political stability In Puerto Rico, Governor Ricardo Rossello remains defiant to massive protests calling for his resignation over the so called ‘chatgate’ scandal. On 21 July Rossello announced he would not seek re-election in 2020 and resigned as president of the ruling New Progressive Party […]

Ones to Watch, 15 July 2019

Americas: Mexico’s Trans-Isthmus trade corridor to face increasing local opposition   Sectors: trade; transport Key Risks: civil unrest; local opposition; business disruption In Mexico, one of leftist President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador’s priority infrastructure projects will continue to face strong local opposition. In early July four members of two indigenous communities located in the Isthmus of […]

Ones to Watch, 8 July 2019

Americas: Indigenous protests against oil-related activities intensify in northern Peru Sectors: oil and gas Key Risks: civil unrest; business disruption In Peru, indigenous-led disruptive unrest against oil-related activities appears set to intensify in the northern Loreto region. On 6 July around 400 indigenous protesters took over Station 5 of the state-owned Petroperu’s Norperuano pipeline in […]

Ones to Watch, 1 July 2019

Americas: Strikes, unrest against President Morales re-election bid to intensify across Bolivia  Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; business disruption In Bolivia, opposition-led action to protest President Evo Morales’ controversial decision to run for a fourth consecutive term is expected to intensify ahead of the 20 October general elections. On 25 June opposition groups in […]

Ones to Watch, 24 June

Americas: Violent anti-government protests reignite in Haiti   Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political instability; business disruption In Haiti, violent protests demanding President Jovenel Moise step down will continue to heighten political instability risks as shown by the latest wave of unrest which erupted on 9 June. Since then, at least four people have […]

Ones to Watch, 17 June 2019

Americas: Government to support mining sector as local referendums loom in Ecuador Sectors: mining; extractive industries Key Risks: FoP; local referendums; judicial instability In Ecuador, on 13 June the government announced that Australia’s SolGold’s Cascabel project in Imbabura province could become one of the largest mines in the world. Cascabel is in an advanced exploration phase, […]

Ones to Watch, 10 June 2019

Americas: Brazilian Supreme Court approves Petrobras divestments; LyondellBasell ends Braskem talks Sectors: oil and gas; petrochemicals Key Risks: business risks; investment climate; frustration of process In Brazil, recent decisions will affect major divestment efforts in the oil and petrochemicals sector. On 4 June LyondelBassell said it had decided to end the 18-month negotiations with engineering […]