Ones to Watch, 16 October 2017

Americas: Macri’s government poised to pass its first electoral test Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; policy continuity In Argentina, midterm legislative elections will take place on 22 October, with the ruling Cambiemos alliance likely to secure a positive result and strengthen its position in Congress. A successful election will not mean achieving a...

Worldwide: The Liquefied Natural Gas revolution

Date first published: 05/10/2017 Key sectors: natural gas; oil; renewables Key risks: n/a Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) may be transforming international energy markets. 39 countries currently import LNG, more than double the number only a decade ago. In 2015, 40 per cent of the total gas trade moved by sea, while the International Energy Agency...

Ones to Watch, 9 October 2018

Americas: Corruption fallout in Brazil far from over Sectors: construction; oil and gas Key Risks: non-payment; reputational risks In Brazil, corruption fallout is far from over. On 8 October local media reported that the government was seeking US$12.7bln from Andrade Gutierrez as part of an agreement to settle claims related to its involvement in...

Iraq: Kurdistan votes; what now?

Date first published: 28/09/2017 Key sectors: military and defence; humanitarian aid; internal security Key risks: civil unrest; terrorism; foreign military confrontation Of the 72 per cent of Kurds in and out of the autonomous region who participated in the non-binding referendum on 25 September, 92.73 per cent voted ‘Yes’ to an independent Kurdistan. Celebrations broke out across...

Ones to Watch, 2 October 2017

Americas: Government and ELN begin temporary bilateral ceasefire Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency In Colombia, the government and the leftist ELN guerrillas began a temporary bilateral ceasefire on 1 October scheduled to last until 9 January 2018, with the possibility of an extension. The agreement, the first in over 50 years of conflict,...