Ones to Watch, 22 January 2018

Americas: Court to decide on Lula da Silva’s appeal against conviction Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political instability; corruption fallout In Brazil, on 24 January a court in the southern city of Porto Alegre is scheduled to decide on an appeal from former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva against his conviction to...

Presidential election highlights the potential future risks

Date first published: 09/01/2018 Key sectors:all Key risks:civil unrest; political instability The nationwide protests, which began on 28 December in the second-largest and influential city of Mashhad in the north-east have subsided. However, the impact of the protests will continue to reverberate through Iranian society and politics for some time to come. They were the...

Poor prospects for prolonged partnership

Date first published: 04/01/2018 Key sectors: oil Key risks: price stability Riyadh’s and Moscow’s oil alliance is over a year old and is scheduled to last until the end of 2018. Notably, the OPEC-Russia deal will be reviewed at the 22 June OPEC meeting. Saudi Arabia and Moscow have courted one another openly in recent years, although...

Ones to Watch, 8 January 2018

Americas: Government and ELN to discuss bilateral ceasefire extension Sectors: all Key Risks: terrorism; insurgency In Colombia, the government and the ELN guerrillas have recently stated in separate announcements that they stand ready to potentially renew the bilateral ceasefire agreement in place since 1 October 2017 which comes to an end on 9 January....