Brazil: Temer’s fight for survival

Date first published: 04/07/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; governability; corruption fall-out; strikes and demonstrations On 26 June Michel Temer became the first sitting Brazilian president to be charged with corruption. This might seem to be just another move in the judiciary’s attempt to dismantle the ever-growing web of corruption ensnaring Brazilian politicians, the business...

Ones to Watch: 10 July 2017

Americas: Senate to vote on controversial labour reform; Congress to vote on Temer’s trial Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; strikes; corruption fallout In Brazil, the Senate is expected to vote on the controversial government-backed labour reform bill on 11 July. A motion to fast-track the bill, which is part of President...

Credit risk model, probable maximum loss, political risk

Credit Risk Modelling for Insurers and Investors

We've launched a Credit Risk Model to help clients assess the effect of political and economic shocks on the risk of corporate defaults and the dollar impact on an insurance or investment company's assets.The Credit Probable Maximum Loss (PML) model helps leading credit risk underwriters to inform their underwriting strategy by assessing the risks...

Ones to Watch: 3 July 2017

Americas: Potential trial for Venezuela’s dissident Attorney General to continue to fuel unrest Sectors: allKey Risks: civil unrest; violent clashes; political instability; lootingIn Venezuela, Attorney General Luisa Ortega Diaz is expected to face a hearing on 4 July that could lead to her being put on trial over ‘grave faults’ and ‘treason’. The government,...

Sub-Saharan Africa: #BringBackOurInternet

Date first published: 20/06/2017 Key sectors: IT; media; online retail Key risks: reputational; democratic backsliding; business interruption; detention; censorship Silicon Savannah For sub-Saharan Africa’s youthful population, armed with smartphones and taking advantage of rapid infrastructure developments, the internet has become a key communications tool, source of news media and means of engaging in politics: indeed, Africans are...