Explore the insights of our team of analysts, regional experts and security risk specialists.

 

Côte d’Ivoire: After the mutiny

Date: 18/05/2017 Key sectors: cocoa Key risks: military mutiny; budget deficit; muted economic growth On Friday 12 May, soldiers fired shots into the air and blocked roads in major cities, undermining President Alassane Ouattara’s announcement that the government had reached a compromise with them over unpaid bonuses. Schools, embassies and banks were closed during the days that…

AKE Ones to Watch: 22 May 2017

Americas: embattled President Temer fights for survival Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; corruption fallout In Brazil, President Michel Temer appears determined to fight for his political survival after fresh bribery allegations made public on 17 May put his presidency at the verge of collapse. Since then, several impeachment requests have been filed…

Moon’s rise turns tide against chaebol

Date first published: 09/05/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: reform; political gridlock On 9 May liberal candidate Moon Jae-in emerged victor in South Korea’s presidential election with 41 per cent of the vote – the highest margin of victory in any South Korean presidential election. Moon lost by around a million votes to Park Geun-hye back in 2012, but the…

Ones to Watch: 15 May 2017

Americas: disruption expected as teachers protests across Mexico Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; commercial damage; disruptive blockades In Mexico, teachers’ unions are expected to demonstrate in the capital Mexico City to protest a series of grievances during Teacher’s Day on 15 May. Government officials announced the deployment of around 2,500 police officers to monitor…

Eastern Caribbean: A successful monetary union?

Date first published: 02/05/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: slow growth; sovereign default There is a story, perhaps apocryphal, that before the establishment of the European Monetary Union (EMU), representatives from the European Central Bank travelled to Basseterre, the capital of St Kitts and Nevis. The trip to the tropical capital was to help them understand…