Americas: Three-month long protests against Tia Maria copper mine could intensify in Peru Sectors: oil & gas Key Risks: business disruption; frustration of process; civil unrest In Peru, disruptive protests against Southern Copper’s controversial Tia Maria copper mine project in Arequipa region could intensify over the coming days. Demonstrations against the currently suspended project have […]
Americas: Brazil’s pension reform expected to pass by early October Sectors: all Key Risks: economic risks; fiscal deficit; civil unrest In Brazil, President Jair Bolsonaro’s pension reform overhauling the social security system is expected to be approved in the coming weeks. On 4 September the Senate’s constitutional affairs committee approved the main text by 18 […]
Americas: Conflict dynamics to change as dissident former FARC leaders issue call to arms Sectors: all Key Risks: targeted attacks; guerrilla activity; clashes with security forces In Colombia, conflict dynamics are expected to change as dissident former FARC leaders called on their followers to take up arms. On 29 August dissident former FARC second-in command […]
Americas: Mexico expected to announce deal with gas pipeline companies to avoid arbitration Sectors: oil & gas Key Risks: business risks; frustration of process In Mexico, the government of President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) is expected to announce an agreement over the coming days to resolve a lengthy conflict with energy companies over gas […]
Americas: Argentina to face further financial turmoil as crisis intensifies Sectors: all Key Risks: economic risks; political instability; policy continuity In Argentina, further financial turmoil is expected in the lead up to and after the upcoming 27 October general elections in which President Mauricio Macri seems increasingly unlikely to be re-elected. On 17 August Nicolas […]
Americas: Southern Copper’s Tia Maria project licence suspended due to protests in Peru Sectors: oil & gas Key Risks: business disruption; frustration of process; civil unrest In Peru, the government of President Martin Vizcarra suspended the recently issued construction permit for Southern Copper’s Tia Maria copper mining project after weeks of violent anti-mining protests in the […]
Americas: President Macri expected to come second in Argentina’s 11 August primary elections Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; political stability; economic reforms In Argentina, the 11 August ‘PASO’ primary elections will provide the first major temperature check ahead of the upcoming October general election, expected to be highly contested between centre-right President Mauricio Macri and […]
AKE’s Head of Political Risk and Principal Analyst for Europe & Eurasia spoke with Channel 4 News’ Jon Snow about a series of anti-government demonstrations in Russia sparked by the Moscow Electoral Commissions’ decision to refuse opposition candidates’ registration, as well as the potential poisoning of Alexei Navalny, arguably the most prominent Russian opposition figure. […]
Americas: Bilateral US-Venezuela tensions to remain high despite Chevron’s license renewal Sectors: oil and gas Key Risks: business risks; expropriation; sanctions In Venezuela, the three-month extension to Chevron’s license to continue operating its four joint ventures on Venezuelan oil temporarily dispelled fears of an expropriation of its assets amid heightened bilateral tensions and sanctions. On 26 July the US […]
Americas: Puerto Rico to face further protests, heightened political instability risks Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; protests; political stability In Puerto Rico, Governor Ricardo Rossello remains defiant to massive protests calling for his resignation over the so called ‘chatgate’ scandal. On 21 July Rossello announced he would not seek re-election in 2020 and resigned as president of the ruling New Progressive Party […]
Americas: Mexico’s Trans-Isthmus trade corridor to face increasing local opposition Sectors: trade; transport Key Risks: civil unrest; local opposition; business disruption In Mexico, one of leftist President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador’s priority infrastructure projects will continue to face strong local opposition. In early July four members of two indigenous communities located in the Isthmus of […]
Americas: Government to support mining sector as local referendums loom in Ecuador Sectors: mining; extractive industries Key Risks: FoP; local referendums; judicial instability In Ecuador, on 13 June the government announced that Australia’s SolGold’s Cascabel project in Imbabura province could become one of the largest mines in the world. Cascabel is in an advanced exploration phase, […]
