Date first published: 11/08/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: policy continuity; political stability; economic; business Risk development On 9 August, Kenya held its seventh presidential election, bringing President Uhuru Kenyatta’s turbulent two terms to an end. Approximately 22.1 million people registered to cast their ballots in elections for 1,882 elective posts, including the president, […]
Date first published: 04/08/2022 Key sectors: agriculture; shipping; insurance Key risks: supply chain disruption; trade; business risks; sanctions Risk development On 22 July Kyiv and Moscow signed parallel UN and Ankara-brokered deals to allow Ukraine to resume grain exports from its Black Sea ports. The arrangement was immediately called into doubt on 23 July […]
Date first published: 02/08/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: war on land; business risks Risk development US Speaker of the House Representatives Nancy Pelosi is set to travel to Taiwan on 2 August despite stern warnings from Beijing. The controversial visit, which would take place against the backdrop of intensifying strategic competition between China […]
Date first published: 21/07/2022 Key sectors: aviation Key risks: flight disruption, labour shortages, strikes Risk development The COVID-19 pandemic saw a dramatic fall in passenger numbers, forcing airlines and airports to cut services and staff – but after more than two years of crisis, with border restrictions loosening in much of the world and passengers willing […]
Date first published: 14/07/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest Risk overview On 1 July 18 people were killed and 243 injured after protesters clashed with security forces in Nukus, the capital of the country’s autonomous republic of Karakalpakstan, amid demonstrations over proposed changes to the constitution in which Karakalpakstan would be stripped […]
Date first published: 07/07/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: internal conflict; civil unrest; political stability Risk development On 1 July pro-Beijing hardliner John Lee succeeded Carrie Lam as the new Chief Executive of Hong Kong. The former security chief voiced his ‘absolute confidence’ that there would not be a repeat of the 2019 civil […]
Date first published: 30/06/2022 Key sectors: all; oil and gas; mining Key risks: policy continuity; political stability; economic and business risks; governability Risk development Former M-19 guerrilla Gustavo Petro will become the country’s first leftist president on 7 August. On 19 June he won a tight presidential runoff – 50.4 per cent to 47.3 […]
Date first published: 23/06/2022 Key sectors: all; mining Key risks: internal conflict; external conflict; bilateral relations Risk development On 17 June Kinshasa closed its border with Rwanda after Rwandan border guards killed a Congolese soldier who opened fire on police officers 25 km inside Rwandan territory. A week prior on 10 June, the two countries […]
Date first published: 16/06/2022 Key sectors: all; oil and gas Key risks: political stability; sanctions Risk development On 10 June state-owned oil company PDVSA stated that the Greek-flagged Aframax Minerva Zoe oil tanker chartered by Italian oil firm Eni had arrived in Venezuelan waters to carry 650,000 barrels of diluted crude oil bound for […]
Date first published: 14/06/2022 Key sectors: all Key risks: leadership change; populist policy; trade disputes Risk development On 6 June Prime Minister (PM) Boris Johnson faced a vote of confidence from members of his own Conservative Party. Johnson managed to survive but won the support of only 211 MPs – 59 per cent of […]
Date first published: 07/06/2022 Key sectors: healthcare Key risks: pandemics Risk Development In early May 2022, UK authorities confirmed the first registered case of monkeypox – a viral disease with some similarities to smallpox. Over the next month cases were reported across Europe, as well as in the Americas, North Africa and Australia. By 4 June a total […]
Date first published: 31/05/2022 Key sectors: energy; oil and gas Key risks: business risks; trade; sanctions; energy security Risk development On 27 April Russia’s state-owned gas company Gazprom cut natural gas deliveries to Poland over its refusal to comply with a new rouble payment mechanism – demanded by Moscow since 1 April, in breach […]
