Date first published: 03/07/2025
Key sectors: all
Key risks: government instability; political instability; coup d’etat
Risk development
On 1 July Bangkok’s Constitutional Court suspended Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra from all duties pending an ethics violation case. The case covers the contents of her phone call with former Cambodian prime minister Hun Sen, intended to de-escalate tensions after the 28 May border clash near Nam Yuen, Ubon Ratchathani province. During the call, Shinawatra dismissed a Thai general, addressing him as “an opponent”, and referred to Hun as “uncle”. On 18 June the ruling coalition’s second-largest party, the Bhumjaithai Party, withdrew from cooperation with Shinawatra’s ruling Pheu Thai party, stating that Shinawatra had insulted the military and country. On 24 June Bhumjaithai further announced that a vote of no confidence would be held as soon as parliament re-convened on 3 July, although it was postponed on the day it was scheduled to allow time for the Constitutional Court’s ethics review to proceed.
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