News and updates
Venezuela: Déjà-vu
Date first published: 12/05/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; insurrection; governability; civil unrest Attempts to oust Nicolas...
Ones to Watch, 11 May 2020
Americas: Controversy expected as Guyana’s 2 March general elections vote recount begins Sectors: all; oil & gas Key Risks: political stabili...
Turkey: Another banking crisis
Date first published: 06/05/2020 Key sectors: banks; state-backed projects; sovereign Key risks: banking crisis Perhaps surprisingly, the COVID-19 pan...
Ones to Watch, 4 May 2020
Americas: Argentina unlikely to modify debt restructuring offer as default looms Sectors: all Key Risks: sovereign default In Argentina, the governm...
Isolation; a blog – #4 mind *&$%
Mind F&$k In general, people have negative thoughts because they suffer and because they have fears. Humans, unlike animals, can derive from their...
Latin America: Prison riots increase as COVID-19 spreads
Date first published: 28/04/2020 Key sectors: public security; penitentiary systems Key risks: civil unrest; riots; violent clashes The COVID-19 pande...
Ones to Watch, 27 April 2020
Americas: Brazil’s Bolsonaro under growing pressure as Moro quits finance minister post Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; policy cont...
Isolation; a blog – #3 can’t / won’t
Can’t or Won’t. Can’t = Cannot. Won’t = Will Not. “Troy, what are you on about? Where are you heading with this?”...
Tunisia: Distressing Debt
Date first published: 21/04/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: default risks On 10 April the International Monetary Fund approved US$745m in emergency a...
United States: The geopolitics of Federal Reserve swap lines
Date first published: 31/03/2020 The Federal Reserve prides itself on its political independence, a core tenet of how it should operate. It should mak...- Chile: Political violence in times of COVID-19
Chile: Political violence in times of COVID-19
Date first published: 07/04/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; policy continuity; looting; arson attacks; violent clashes The COVID-19 pan... - India: The economics of the lockdown
India: The economics of the lockdown
Date first published: 14/04/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: economic growth; sovereign risks; political stability On 24 March, Prime Minister Naren...
