AKE Ones to Watch, 4 September 2017

Americas: Guatemala plunges into political crisis Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest; corruption fallout In Guatemala, the Supreme Court of Justice is expected to rule on whether to lift President Jimmy Morales’ immunity from prosecution. The Attorney General’s office and the UN-backed International Commission against Impunity in Guatemala (CICIG) requested the judgement citing…

Argentina: Macri’s first electoral test

Date first published: 22/08/2017 Key sectors:all Key risks:policy continuity; political stability President Mauricio Macri’s government appears set to pass its first electoral test. The results of the 13 August nationwide primary legislative elections indicated that the Cambiemos alliance, consisting of Macri’s centre-right Propuesta Republicana (Pro) and the centre-left Unión Cívica Radical (UCR) has a strong chance…

Georgia: Security concerns nine years on from war

Date first published: 15/08/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: political violence; civil unrest; war In August 2008, Russia and Georgia fought a brief five-day war, the result of which left Moscow in de facto control of 20 per cent of Georgia’s sovereign territory. Moscow formally recognised the breakaway republics of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, with a population of…

Ones to Watch: 21 August 2017

Americas: Mapuche-related violence to persist Sectors: cargo transport; forestry; agriculture; security forces Key Risks: terrorism; commercial/property damage; cargo disruption In Chile, attacks against forestry, agriculture and transport personnel and assets will remain a concern in the southern Araucania, Bio Bio and Los Rios regions as indicated by the latest incident in Temuco, Araucania on 19…

Venezuela: And so it begins

Date first published: 08/08/2017 Key sectors:all Key risks:violent unrest; looting; deadly clashes; internal conflict Few remain reluctant to acknowledge that Venezuela is currently run by a dictator. The ‘election’ on 30 July of the National Constituent Assembly (ANC), the country’s supreme power in charge of rewriting the constitution, marked the end of what was left of…