Ones to Watch, 20 November 2017

Americas: Chile headed to presidential runoff Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; governability In Chile, centre-right former president Sebastian Pinera (2010–2014) will face centre-left Senator Alejandro Guillier, who is supported by most of ruling centre-left Nueva Mayoria coalition parties, in a 17 December presidential runoff. Pinera is likely to win. The 19 November first round…

Colombia: ELN peace process moves forward

Date first published: 07/11/2017 Key sectors: oil and gas; electricity; transportation Key risks: insurgency; terrorism; targeted violence; disruptive unrest On 1 October the government and the left-wing National Liberation Army (ELN) guerrillas began a temporary bilateral ceasefire, the first in over 50 years of armed conflict. One month on, the agreement stands despite at least one alleged…

AKE Ones to Watch, 13 November 2017

Americas: Venezuelan government to meet with creditors to discuss debt restructuring Sectors: all Key Risks: sovereign default; payment delays; political instability; sanctions In Venezuela, on 13 November the government of President Nicolas Maduro is scheduled to meet with creditors holding US$63bln in bonds to discuss plans to restructure and refinance the debt. The meeting follows…

New-look Standing Committee to give all that Xi wants

Date first published: 31/10/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; economic policy changes On 24 October, the last day of the Communist Party’s 19th National Congress, the party revealed the seven members of the Politburo Standing Committee, China’s most powerful leadership body. As the world’s second largest economy, China’s leadership decisions affect far more people than the…

Ones to Watch, 6 November 2017

Americas: Extractive industries to continue to face risk of disruptive unrest across Peru Sectors: extractive industries Key Risks: disruptive blockades; violent unrest; business interruption   In Peru, the extractive industries sector remains exposed to the risk of disruptive unrest. This risk is unlikely to significantly decrease over the coming months despite government efforts to strike…