Risk Insights
Aviation after COVID-19
Date first published: 09/07/2020 Key sectors: aviation Key risk: bankruptcy; mergers; state-aid There are few industries that have been more affected ...
Iran: Nantaz nuclear nightmare
Date first published: 07/07/2020 Key sectors: nuclear; shipping; aerospace Key risks: sanctions; political instability; cyber-warfare; war on land On ...
Suriname: Desi desists?
Date first published: 30/06/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; policy continuity; sovereign default President Desire Delano ‘Desi...
China – North Korea: Three nos: the mantra driving China’s North Korea Strategy
Date first published: 23/06/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: external conflict; regional stability On 16 June, North Korea demolished the Inter-Korean...
DRC: Kamerhe corruption trial highlights President’s perennial power struggles
Date first published: 16/06/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: frustration of process; corruption; political instability On 20 June, a Kinshasa tribunal...
European Union: A small step towards fiscal federalism
Date first published: 09/06/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: sovereign debt; economic recovery; fiscal federalism In 1790, Alexander Hamilton, the fir...
Burundi: What next after 20 May general elections?
Date first published: 2/06/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: internal conflict; external conflict; political violence; civil unrest; economic growth Bu...
China – US: Post-pandemic relations: more, not less, tension
Date first published: 28/05/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; economic growth; investment; trade war The United States (US)-Chin...
Yemen: Southern separatists secede as COVID-19 catastrophe escalates
Date first published: 19/05/2020 Key sectors: all; shipping; construction Key risks: political instability; war on land On 26 April Yemen’s separati...
Venezuela: Déjà-vu
Date first published: 12/05/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; insurrection; governability; civil unrest Attempts to oust Nicolas...
Turkey: Another banking crisis
Date first published: 06/05/2020 Key sectors: banks; state-backed projects; sovereign Key risks: banking crisis Perhaps surprisingly, the COVID-19 pan...
Latin America: Prison riots increase as COVID-19 spreads
Date first published: 28/04/2020 Key sectors: public security; penitentiary systems Key risks: civil unrest; riots; violent clashes The COVID-19 pande...
