Risk Insights

  • Post-Castro scenarios
    Date first published: 15/03/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; policy continuity 19 April will mark the end of the Castro era in...
    21 March 2018
  • Russia – China: Beijing’s option on Rosneft
    Date first published: 06/03/2018 Key risks: frustration of process; contract frustration; credit risk Key sectors: energy The Chinese government ha...
    14 March 2018
  • Brazil: All eyes on the election
    Date first published: 27/02/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: governability; delays to fiscal reform agenda; policy uncertainty All eyes in Brazil a...
    08 March 2018
  • Maldives: Sinking literally and politically
    Date first published: 13/02/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; debt repayments; geopolitical rivalry The Maldives’ President...
    21 February 2018
  • Diamonds aren’t forever
    Date: 30/01/2018 Key sectors: mining Key risks: diamond dependence One of the world’s poorest countries at independence in 1966, Botswana swiftly...
    07 February 2018
  • Iran – Iraq: Oil deal in Kirkuk likely to undermine Turkey
    Date first published: 23/01/2018 Key sectors: energy Key risks: political stability; regional competition On 9 December, Iraqi Oil Minister Jabal a...
    31 January 2018
  • China – US: Investment in the US hits a wall
    Date first published: 16/01/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: M&A refusal On 3 January Chinese fintech company Ant Financial’s US$1.2bln move ...
    24 January 2018
  • Presidential election highlights the potential future risks
    Date first published: 09/01/2018 Key sectors:all Key risks:civil unrest; political instability The nationwide protests, which began on 28 December in...
    17 January 2018
  • Poor prospects for prolonged partnership
    Date first published: 04/01/2018 Key sectors: oil Key risks: price stability Riyadh’s and Moscow’s oil alliance is over a year old and is sched...
    10 January 2018
  • Argentina: A few but noisy political violence concerns
    Date first published: 28/12/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; commercial damage; land occupations; terrorism Political violence in 201...
    03 January 2018
  • Angola: A family empire, dismantled?
    Date first published: 12/12/2017 Key sectors: oil and gas Key risks: political instability; frustration of process; poor financial performance Jus...
    20 December 2017
  • Ukraine: The ramifications of November’s Luhansk ‘coup’
    Date first published: 05/12/2017 Key risks: internal conflict; political violence; political instability Key sectors: energy; mining; transportatio...
    13 December 2017