Ones to Watch
Americas: Voters in Peru support anti-corruption reforms in referendum Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; civil unrest Exit polls from the 9 December referendum show strong support for President Martin Vizcarra’s political and judicial reforms to target corruption and reshape the political system in Peru. Voters approved three out of four reforms, first announced in […]
Americas: Haiti faces fresh wave of violent anti-government protests Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; political instability; business disruption In Haiti, waves of nationwide violent anti-government protests are expected to continue. At least 17 people have been killed since 18 November, when clashes intensified as demonstrators blocked streets with burning tyres in the capital Port-au-Prince and […]
Americas: Leftist AMLO to take office in Mexico on 1 December Sectors: all Key Risks: policy continuity; political instability; currency volatility In Mexico, leftist president-elect Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) will take office on 1 December amid persistent uncertainty over his future policies. AMLO’s security strategy includes creating a 50,000-strong National Guard as part of […]
Americas: Austerity 2019 budget approved in Argentina; risk of unrest, attacks ahead of G20 Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; terrorism; governability In Argentina, the Senate approved the 2019 austerity budget by 45 to 24 votes on 15 November in a political victory for President Mauricio Macri’s government. The approval came three days after S&P […]
Americas: ELN steps-up attacks in Colombia as prospects for peace talks resumption wane Sectors: oil and gas; electricity; security force/government assets Key Risks: terrorism; targeted attacks; armed clashes; kidnapping In Colombia, the leftist ELN guerrillas reportedly carried out several attacks in the northern Cesar department on 10 November. Five civilians were injured when forced out […]
Americas: US midterm elections on 6 November Sectors: all Key Risks: split government; protests; political inertia; impeachment Voters in the United States take part in nationwide elections on 6 November, during which the entire US House of Representatives is up for re-election, as are 35 of 100 Senate seats, although some could see a runoff […]
ONES TO WATCH Americas: Keiko Fujimori’s preventive detention request hearing continues in Peru Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; civil unrest In Peru, the hearing to assess the public prosecutor’s 36-month preventive detention request for conservative Popular Force (FP) party leader Keiko Fujimori and ten others continued for the fifth day on 29 October. The […]
Americas: Far-right Jair Bolsonaro likely to win Brazil’s polarised presidential runoff Sectors: all Key Risks: political stability; civil unrest; policy changes In Brazil, a highly polarised presidential runoff between right-wing frontrunner Jair Bolsonaro and leftist Workers’ Party candidate (PT) Fernando Haddad will be held on 28 October. Former army captain Bolsonaro was polling at almost […]
Americas: Court rulings affecting mining projects in Chile Sectors: mining Key Risks: frustration of process; contract scrutiny In Chile, court rulings have recently affected several mining-related projects. On 11 October the Constitutional Court suspended a deal allowing China’s Tianqi Lithium to buy a 24 per cent stake in Chile’s SQM after agreeing to hear arguments […]
Americas: Costa Rica’s controversial tax reform moves forward; strike to continue Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; strikes; policy changes In Costa Rica, Congress approved a controversial tax reform on 5 October amid ongoing protests from public sector workers. The government-backed Strengthening Public Finance bill is aimed at addressing a fiscal crisis. The Constitutional Chamber […]
Americas: General elections in Brazil to lead to polarised presidential runoff Sectors: all Key Risks: policy uncertainty; political instability; civil unrest; governability In Brazil, general elections are scheduled to take place on 7 October with no presidential candidate expected to secure the 50 per cent needed to avoid a runoff on 28 October. Far-right frontrunner […]
Americas: Labour unions launch 36-hour strike against Argentina’s government Sectors: all Key Risks: strikes; civil unrest; governability; policy continuity In Argentina, labour unions and social movements plan to launch a 36-hour long strike on 24 September led by the Workers’ Central Union (CTA) which the General Confederation of Labour (CGT), Argentina’s largest labour union, plans […]
