No Syrian misadventure yet

Date first published: 11/04/2017 Key sectors: security; infrastructure Key risks: war on land; political violence; terrorism On 4 April, a fixed-wing aircraft dropped four missiles on the town of Khan Shaykhun in rebel-controlled Idlib province. The international community mobilised swiftly after video and photography from the town suggested one of those four carried bombs loaded with...

A CFA Haven

Key sectors: all Key risks: CIET; CF ‘Currency is not a technical issue’, wrote former French Prime Minister Edouard Balladur, instead ‘it affects the independence of nations.’ Balladur was writing about plans to create the Euro, but he could have been referring to the Central and West African CFA Francs. Those that protested the...

Ones to Watch: 10 April 2017

Americas: protests over Ecuadorian election continue while ELN peace talks under threat Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; terrorism; civil unrest On 7 April Ecuadorian police forces raided the headquarters of polling firm Cedatos. Cedatos’ exit poll for the 2 April presidential election, which showed a six-point advantage for losing opposition candidate Guillermo Lasso,...

Inter-Kurdish rivalries spill to the fore

Key sectors: security; energy; trade Key risks: civil unrest; political violence; business interruption The rivalries between Iraqi Kurdish armed groups came sharply into relief in early March. On 3 March, armed clashes broke out between Rojava Peshmerga forces, security personnel funded by the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KD) in the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) of Iraq, and...

Ones to Watch: 3 April 2017

Americas: trial that could lead to Temer’s fall set to begin in Brazil Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; strikes and demonstrations; corruption fallout; governability     In Brazil, the Supreme Electoral Court (TSE) will begin the trial to define whether the 2014 Rousseff-Temer ticket should be annulled due to illegal electoral financing. The ruling...