Ones to Watch, 4 March 2019

Americas: Petroperu’s pipeline resumes operations; Las Bambas blockades continue Sectors: mining; metals; oil and gas; Key Risks: business disruption; targeted attacks; protests In Peru, state-owned oil company Petroperu’s pipeline in Loreto region resumed operations while disruptive action against extractive industries continues. On 1 March Petroperu announced that its Norperuano pipeline had resumed operations as...

Thailand: A touch of royalty

Date first published: 21/2/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; internal conflict; civil unrest On 8 February Princess Ubolratana Rajakanya broke historical precedent by announcing her candidacy in long-awaited elections on behalf of the Thai Raksa Chart party, which is aligned with the powerful Shinawatra clan. The move sent shockwaves through Thailand’s political landscape...

Ones to Watch, 25 February 2019

Americas: Guaido calls for “all options” to be considered to oust Venezuela’s Maduro Sectors: all Key Risks: political instability; military intervention; sanctions; arbitrary arrests; civil unrest In Venezuela, partially recognised interim president Juan Guiado called his international allies to consider “all options” to force President Nicolas Maduro from power following the deadly government-led crackdown...

Lebanon: All that glitters is not gold

Date first published: 14/2/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: default; political stability; frustration of process; confiscation risk Behind Beirut’s gleaming facade lies a mess of decrepit infrastructure, a fitting metaphor for the country’s political and economic woes. On 31 January after nine months of gridlock the ‘Unity’ government was confirmed, much to the relief of...

Ones to Watch, 18 February 2019

Americas: IMF confirms formal talks with Ecuador, anti-government protests erupt Sectors: all Key Risks: default; civil unrest In Ecuador, negotiations with the IMF are set to continue amid pressing financing needs and anti-government protests. On 12 February the IMF confirmed formal talks had been launched with President Lenin Moreno’s government over a potential financial...