Risk Insights

  • Burundi: What next after 20 May general elections?
    Date first published: 2/06/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: internal conflict; external conflict; political violence; civil unrest; economic growth Bu...
    ake-intel
    03 June 2020
  • China – US: Post-pandemic relations: more, not less, tension
    Date first published: 28/05/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; economic growth; investment; trade war The United States (US)-Chin...
    ake-intel
    28 May 2020
  • Yemen: Southern separatists secede as COVID-19 catastrophe escalates
    Date first published: 19/05/2020 Key sectors: all; shipping; construction Key risks: political instability; war on land On 26 April Yemen’s separati...
    ake-intel
    20 May 2020
  • Venezuela: Déjà-vu
    Date first published: 12/05/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; insurrection; governability; civil unrest Attempts to oust Nicolas...
    ake-intel
    13 May 2020
  • Turkey: Another banking crisis
    Date first published: 06/05/2020 Key sectors: banks; state-backed projects; sovereign Key risks: banking crisis Perhaps surprisingly, the COVID-19 pan...
    ake-intel
    07 May 2020
  • Latin America: Prison riots increase as COVID-19 spreads
    Date first published: 28/04/2020 Key sectors: public security; penitentiary systems Key risks: civil unrest; riots; violent clashes The COVID-19 pande...
    ake-intel
    29 April 2020
  • Tunisia: Distressing Debt
    Date first published: 21/04/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: default risks On 10 April the International Monetary Fund approved US$745m in emergency a...
    ake-intel
    22 April 2020
  • United States: The geopolitics of Federal Reserve swap lines
    Date first published: 31/03/2020 The Federal Reserve prides itself on its political independence, a core tenet of how it should operate. It should mak...
    ake-intel
    22 April 2020
  • Chile: Political violence in times of COVID-19
    Chile: Political violence in times of COVID-19
    Date first published: 07/04/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; policy continuity; looting; arson attacks; violent clashes The COVID-19 pan...
    ake-intel
    22 April 2020
  • India: The economics of the lockdown
    India: The economics of the lockdown
    Date first published: 14/04/2020 Key sectors: all Key risks: economic growth; sovereign risks; political stability On 24 March, Prime Minister Naren...
    ake-intel
    22 April 2020
  • Lebanon: Broke down palace
    Lebanon: Broke down palace
    Key sectors: banking; all Key risks: Default; sanctions On 7 March new Prime Minister Hassan Diab announced Beirut’s intention to default on US$1.2b...
    ake-ss
    26 March 2020
  • South Africa: More bad news
    South Africa: More bad news
    Key sectors: all Key risks: economic risks; frustration of process The bad tidings keep coming in for South Africa. Data released on 3 March showed th...
    ake-ss
    19 March 2020