Risk Insights
Gabon: A botched coup
Date first published: 16/1/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; political violence; civil unrest In the early morning of 7 January...
Israel: Bye-Bye Bibi
Date first published: 7/1/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; security With just over three months until Israel’s early election...
Democratic Republic of Congo: Trouble ahead
Date first published: 3/1/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; political violence; civil unrest; internal conflict On 30 December ...
Ethiopia: Ahmed’s security paradox
Date first published: 13/12/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: internal conflict; political instability Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s ambitious reform ...
France: The King in Yellow
Date first published: 11/12/2018 Key sectors: retail; transport; pensions Key risks: civil unrest; vandalism; political instability President Emmanue...
Ukraine – Russia: Provocations or political games in the Kerch Strait
Date first published: 4/12/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: conflict On 25 November, Russia fired on three Ukrainian navy vessels, subsequently seizi...
Brazil: Bolsonaro
Date first published: 22/11/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: policy uncertainty; governability The election of far-right former captain Jair Bolsonar...
Pakistan: A second surrender to extremists
Date first published: 13/11/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; political violence; political stability Mass religious protests led by Cle...
Sri Lanka: Crisis in Colombo
Date first published: 6/11/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; debt; investor confidence On 26 October, President Maithripala Siri...
Syria: Syria’s future hangs in the balance of Idlib deal
Date first published: 30/10/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: all On 17 September, Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip...
Pakistan: Islamabad turns to the IMF
Date first published: 25/10/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: foreign currency shortages; fiscal crisis; austerity On 23 October Pakistan’s Prime Min...
Brazil: Expected polarisation
Date first published: 9/10/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: policy uncertainty; electoral unpredictability; governability Polarisation has been one of...
