Risk Insights

  • Presidential election highlights the potential future risks
    Date first published: 09/01/2018 Key sectors:all Key risks:civil unrest; political instability The nationwide protests, which began on 28 December in...
    17 January 2018
  • Poor prospects for prolonged partnership
    Date first published: 04/01/2018 Key sectors: oil Key risks: price stability Riyadh’s and Moscow’s oil alliance is over a year old and is sched...
    10 January 2018
  • Argentina: A few but noisy political violence concerns
    Date first published: 28/12/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; commercial damage; land occupations; terrorism Political violence in 201...
    03 January 2018
  • Angola: A family empire, dismantled?
    Date first published: 12/12/2017 Key sectors: oil and gas Key risks: political instability; frustration of process; poor financial performance Jus...
    20 December 2017
  • Ukraine: The ramifications of November’s Luhansk ‘coup’
    Date first published: 05/12/2017 Key risks: internal conflict; political violence; political instability Key sectors: energy; mining; transportatio...
    13 December 2017
  • Zimbabwe: The fall of Mugabe
    Date first published: 28/11/2017 Key sectors: agriculture; finance; trade Key risks: coup; political stability The peculiar ‘non-coup’ of 15 N...
    06 December 2017
  • Venezuela: Default, now what?
    Date first published: 23/11/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: sovereign/sub-sovereign default; sanctions; political instability Venezuela and state-...
    29 November 2017
  • Saudi Arabia: Crown prince’s power push raises political risks
    Date first published: 14/11/2017 Key sectors:SOEs; energy; utilities; industrial; defence Key risks:contract frustration; political instability The a...
    22 November 2017
  • Colombia: ELN peace process moves forward
    Date first published: 07/11/2017 Key sectors: oil and gas; electricity; transportation Key risks: insurgency; terrorism; targeted violence; disrupti...
    15 November 2017
  • New-look Standing Committee to give all that Xi wants
    Date first published: 31/10/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; economic policy changes On 24 October, the last day of the Comm...
    08 November 2017
  • Who is Ksenia Sobchak, presidential candidate?
    Date first published: 24/10/2017 Key sectors: none Key risks: none Ksenia Sobchak is a distraction. Her presidential candidacy poses no risks to th...
    01 November 2017
  • The challenge agreeing on Basel IV
    Date first published: 17/10/2017 Key sectors:finance Key risks:regulation; financial crisis; credit risk As memories of the 2008 global financial cri...
    25 October 2017