Risk Insights

  • US-EU-Iran: Exorbitant privilege to sanction
    Date first published: 11/7/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: sanctions Former French prime minister and then finance minister Valery Giscard d’Estai...
    ake-ss
    18 July 2019
  • China: The Baoshang Backlash
    Key sectors: finance Key risks: liquidity risks; credit risks On 24 May the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced that Inner Mongolia-based Baosha...
    ake-ss
    04 July 2019
  • Turkey: Is a win for Istanbul a win for Turkey?
    Date first published: 25/6/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; business risk; contract frustration On 23 June Republican PeopleR...
    ake-ss
    27 June 2019
  • Kenya-Somalia: Toward a precipice
    Date first published: 18/6/2019 Key sectors: oil and gas Key risks: territorial dispute; external conflict; terrorism A long-standing dispute over th...
    ake-intel
    20 June 2019
  • Tunisia: Chahed’s Challenges
    Date first published: 11/6/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability The new kid on Tunisia’s fractious political block has elected an u...
    ake-intel
    13 June 2019
  • Indonesia: Election results spark violent riots in central Jakarta
    Date first published: 28/5/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; terrorism; political stability On 21 May the General Election Commission (K...
    ake-intel
    30 May 2019
  • South Africa: Ramaphosa passes crucial test, but many more yet to come
    Date first published: 16/5/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: policy predictability; payment risks; CEND; political stability The centre was weakened, b...
    ake-intel
    22 May 2019
  • Burkina Faso: The next Mali?
    Date first published: 14/5/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: terrorism Violence has spiralled out of control in Burkina Faso in recent months. Around ...
    ake-intel
    15 May 2019
  • Venezuela: The Gordian knot
    Date first published: 9/5/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: insurrection; political instability; arbitrary arrests; civil unrest; military intervention...
    ake-intel
    09 May 2019
  • Sri Lanka: Sectarian violence, political crisis and terrorism
    Key sectors: all Key risks: terrorism On 21 April a series of six near-simultaneous bomb attacks were carried out in Sri Lanka, killing at least 359 a...
    ake-intel
    01 May 2019
  • Ukraine: Landslide of uncertainty
    Date first published: 23/4/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil war; terrorism; project disruption Volodymyr Zelensky’s landslide victory, with 7...
    ake-intel
    25 April 2019
  • Libya: The final piece of Haftar’s puzzle
    Date first published: 16/4/2019 Key sectors: oil & gas; all Key risks: political stability; security; confiscation and expropriation; war on land...
    ake-intel
    17 April 2019