Risk Insights

  • The 12 June US – North Korea Summit is all about China
    Date first published: 07/06/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: sanctions; war; nuclear On 12 June the on-again, off-again historic summit between US ...
    13 June 2018
  • Malaysia: Mahathir’s unlikely comeback
    Date first published: 22/05/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability The stunning election victory of 92-year old Mahathir Mohamad and hi...
    30 May 2018
  • Nicaragua: The end of relative calm
    Date: 01/05/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: violent unrest; policy instability; lootings Recent nationwide anti-government demonstrations ended Ni...
    09 May 2018
  • Papua New Guinea: The earthquake’s aftershock to the LNG industry
    Date: 24/04/2018 Key sectors: liquefied natural gas (LNG); tourism; NGOs Key risks: natural disasters; violent unrest; tribal conflict On 26 Februa...
    02 May 2018
  • Horn of Africa: Port politics
    Date first published: 17/04/2018 Key sectors: infrastructure Key risks: rising tensions; project/license cancellation The Horn of Africa has long b...
    25 April 2018
  • Nigeira: a decade of Boko Haram?
    Nigeira: a decade of Boko Haram?
    Date first published: 03/04/2018 Key sectors:all Key risks:terrorism; insurgency In June 2017 Nigeria’s army chief, Tukur Buratai, declared that Bo...
    11 April 2018
  • Cuba: Post-Castro scenarios
    Date first published: 15/03/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; policy continuity 19 April will mark the end of the Castro era in...
    21 March 2018
  • Russia – China: Beijing’s option on Rosneft
    Date first published: 06/03/2018 Key risks: frustration of process; contract frustration; credit risk Key sectors: energy The Chinese government ha...
    14 March 2018
  • Brazil: All eyes on the election
    Date first published: 27/02/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: governability; delays to fiscal reform agenda; policy uncertainty All eyes in Brazil a...
    08 March 2018
  • Maldives: Sinking literally and politically
    Date first published: 13/02/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; debt repayments; geopolitical rivalry The Maldives’ President...
    21 February 2018
  • Diamonds aren’t forever
    Date: 30/01/2018 Key sectors: mining Key risks: diamond dependence One of the world’s poorest countries at independence in 1966, Botswana swiftly...
    07 February 2018
  • Iran – Iraq: Oil deal in Kirkuk likely to undermine Turkey
    Date first published: 23/01/2018 Key sectors: energy Key risks: political stability; regional competition On 9 December, Iraqi Oil Minister Jabal a...
    31 January 2018