Risk Insights
US-EU-Iran: Exorbitant privilege to sanction
Date first published: 11/7/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: sanctions Former French prime minister and then finance minister Valery Giscard d’Estai...China: The Baoshang Backlash
Key sectors: finance Key risks: liquidity risks; credit risks On 24 May the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced that Inner Mongolia-based Baosha...Turkey: Is a win for Istanbul a win for Turkey?
Date first published: 25/6/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability; business risk; contract frustration On 23 June Republican PeopleR...Kenya-Somalia: Toward a precipice
Date first published: 18/6/2019 Key sectors: oil and gas Key risks: territorial dispute; external conflict; terrorism A long-standing dispute over th...Tunisia: Chahed’s Challenges
Date first published: 11/6/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability The new kid on Tunisia’s fractious political block has elected an u...Indonesia: Election results spark violent riots in central Jakarta
Date first published: 28/5/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; terrorism; political stability On 21 May the General Election Commission (K...South Africa: Ramaphosa passes crucial test, but many more yet to come
Date first published: 16/5/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: policy predictability; payment risks; CEND; political stability The centre was weakened, b...Burkina Faso: The next Mali?
Date first published: 14/5/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: terrorism Violence has spiralled out of control in Burkina Faso in recent months. Around ...Venezuela: The Gordian knot
Date first published: 9/5/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: insurrection; political instability; arbitrary arrests; civil unrest; military intervention...Sri Lanka: Sectarian violence, political crisis and terrorism
Key sectors: all Key risks: terrorism On 21 April a series of six near-simultaneous bomb attacks were carried out in Sri Lanka, killing at least 359 a...Ukraine: Landslide of uncertainty
Date first published: 23/4/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil war; terrorism; project disruption Volodymyr Zelensky’s landslide victory, with 7...Libya: The final piece of Haftar’s puzzle
Date first published: 16/4/2019 Key sectors: oil & gas; all Key risks: political stability; security; confiscation and expropriation; war on land...