Risk Insights

  • Cuba: A frontier economy in crisis
    Date first published: 08/06/2017 Key risks: slow growth; sovereign payment Key sectors: tourism; agriculture 1950’s Havana was a city of giant cas...
    14 June 2017
  • Libya: The deep roots of Libyan militancy
    Date first published: 30/05/2017 Key sectors: energy; utilities; foreign investment Key risks: terrorism; civil unrest; political violence The 22 Ma...
    07 June 2017
  • Ecuador: Lenin Moreno’s turn?
    Date first published: 25/05/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: policy continuity; political stability; governability; corruption fallout ‘I am a pre...
    31 May 2017
  • Côte d’Ivoire: After the mutiny
    Date: 18/05/2017 Key sectors: cocoa Key risks: military mutiny; budget deficit; muted economic growth On Friday 12 May, soldiers fired shots into th...
    24 May 2017
  • South Korea: Moon’s rise turns tide against chaebol
    Date first published: 09/05/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: reform; political gridlock On 9 May liberal candidate Moon Jae-in emerged victor in So...
    18 May 2017
  • Eastern Caribbean: A successful monetary union?
    Date first published: 02/05/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: slow growth; sovereign default There is a story, perhaps apocryphal, that before the est...
    10 May 2017
  • Venezuela: Further into chaos
    Date first published: 27/04/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: violent unrest; looting; deadly clashes; deadly clashes Violence has once again erupte...
    03 May 2017
  • Will France’s two-round electoral system fail?
    Date first published: 20/04/2017 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability The outcome of France’s upcoming 28 April first-round presidentia...
    26 April 2017
  • No Syrian misadventure yet
    No Syrian misadventure yet
    Date first published: 11/04/2017 Key sectors: security; infrastructure Key risks: war on land; political violence; terrorism On 4 April, a fixed-win...
    19 April 2017
  • A CFA Haven
    Key sectors: all Key risks: CIET; CF ‘Currency is not a technical issue’, wrote former French Prime Minister Edouard Balladur, instead ‘it affec...
    12 April 2017
  • Inter-Kurdish rivalries spill to the fore
    Key sectors: security; energy; trade Key risks: civil unrest; political violence; business interruption The rivalries between Iraqi Kurdish armed gr...
    05 April 2017
  • United Kingdom: After the Westminster attack
    Key sectors: all Key risks: terrorism; political violence The 22 March car and knife attack in Westminster has highlighted security concerns in the UK...
    29 March 2017