Ones to Watch, 19 November 2018

Americas: Austerity 2019 budget approved in Argentina; risk of unrest, attacks ahead of G20 Sectors: all Key Risks: civil unrest; terrorism; governability In Argentina, the Senate approved the 2019 austerity budget by 45 to 24 votes on 15 November in a political victory for President Mauricio Macri’s government. The approval came three days after...

Sri Lanka: Crisis in Colombo

Date first published: 6/11/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: political instability; debt; investor confidence On 26 October, President Maithripala Sirisena dismissed Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe and replaced him with ex-president Mahinda Rajapaksa, a former authoritarian strongman accused of nepotism, corruption and human rights violations. The move, which Wickremesinghe argues was unconstitutional, set into motion...

Ones to Watch, 12 November 2018

Americas: ELN steps-up attacks in Colombia as prospects for peace talks resumption wane Sectors: oil and gas; electricity; security force/government assets Key Risks: terrorism; targeted attacks; armed clashes; kidnapping In Colombia, the leftist ELN guerrillas reportedly carried out several attacks in the northern Cesar department on 10 November. Five civilians were injured when forced...

Ones to Watch, 5 November 2018

Americas: US midterm elections on 6 November Sectors: all Key Risks: split government; protests; political inertia; impeachment Voters in the United States take part in nationwide elections on 6 November, during which the entire US House of Representatives is up for re-election, as are 35 of 100 Senate seats, although some could see a...

Pakistan: Islamabad turns to the IMF

Date first published: 25/10/2018 Key sectors: all Key risks: foreign currency shortages; fiscal crisis; austerity On 23 October Pakistan’s Prime Minister Imran Khan announced that Saudi Arabia would provide US$3bln in balance of payments support, and a US$3bln deferred payments facility for oil imports. Only a day earlier, Khan had claimed that Pakistan was...