Risk Insights

  • Tunisia: Chahed’s Challenges
    Tunisia: Chahed’s Challenges
    Date first published: 11/6/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability The new kid on Tunisia’s fractious political block has elected an u...
    ake-intel
    13 June 2019
  • Indonesia: Election results spark violent riots in central Jakarta
    Indonesia: Election results spark violent riots in central Jakarta
    Date first published: 28/5/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil unrest; terrorism; political stability On 21 May the General Election Commission (K...
    ake-intel
    30 May 2019
  • South Africa: Ramaphosa passes crucial test, but many more yet to come
    South Africa: Ramaphosa passes crucial test, but many more yet to come
    Date first published: 16/5/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: policy predictability; payment risks; CEND; political stability The centre was weakened, b...
    ake-intel
    22 May 2019
  • Burkina Faso: The next Mali?
    Burkina Faso: The next Mali?
    Date first published: 14/5/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: terrorism Violence has spiralled out of control in Burkina Faso in recent months. Around ...
    ake-intel
    15 May 2019
  • Venezuela: The Gordian knot
    Venezuela: The Gordian knot
    Date first published: 9/5/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: insurrection; political instability; arbitrary arrests; civil unrest; military intervention...
    ake-intel
    09 May 2019
  • Sri Lanka: Sectarian violence, political crisis and terrorism
    Sri Lanka: Sectarian violence, political crisis and terrorism
    Key sectors: all Key risks: terrorism On 21 April a series of six near-simultaneous bomb attacks were carried out in Sri Lanka, killing at least 359 a...
    ake-intel
    01 May 2019
  • Ukraine: Landslide of uncertainty
    Ukraine: Landslide of uncertainty
    Date first published: 23/4/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: civil war; terrorism; project disruption Volodymyr Zelensky’s landslide victory, with 7...
    ake-intel
    25 April 2019
  • Libya: The final piece of Haftar’s puzzle
    Libya: The final piece of Haftar’s puzzle
    Date first published: 16/4/2019 Key sectors: oil & gas; all Key risks: political stability; security; confiscation and expropriation; war on land...
    ake-intel
    17 April 2019
  • Ecuador: Weathering fragmentation and austerity costs
    Ecuador: Weathering fragmentation and austerity costs
    Date first published: 4/4/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: non-payment; governability; civil unrest The government of President Lenin Moreno is set t...
    ake-intel
    10 April 2019
  • Tonga: A litmus test for democracy
    Tonga: A litmus test for democracy
    Date first published: 2/4/2019 Key sectors: all Key risks: political stability Recent developments in Tonga have thrown the political landscape into ...
    ake-intel
    03 April 2019
  • Russia-Turkey: Dangerous liaisons
    Russia-Turkey: Dangerous liaisons
    Date first published: 26/3/2019 Key sectors: defence; energy Key risks: sanctions In 2017 Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan agreed a US$2.5bln p...
    ake-intel
    27 March 2019
  • Peru: Political violence and operational disruption
    Peru: Political violence and operational disruption
    Date first published: 14/3/2019 Key sectors: mining; hydrocarbon; commercial; cargo transport Key risks: disruptive strikes; business interruption; c...
    ake-intel
    20 March 2019